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Met Office and BBC weather heatwave forecasts: don’t give up on summer just yet


Anyone hoping for another blast of summer sun had their hopes raised by the Met Office long-range forecast, but dashed in the short-term by the BBC.

While the extreme heat affecting southern Europe is, thankfully, unlikely to trouble UK shores, there are signs of some higher temperatures later this month according to the Met Office.

Its forecasters have identified the end of the August as a time when the mercury could rise.

The Met Office said temperatures are expected to be around average, but: “there is an increasing possibility that some very warm spells may develop later in the period.”

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Of course, this being Britain these conditions bring with them the chance of thundery showers, especially in the south of the UK.

What the BBC is saying

Looking ahead to the weekend, BBC forecaster Darren Bett said temperatures would start getting closer to normal towards the end of the week, with more warmth on Saturday. But a heatwave is not expected.

He said slow moving weather systems are due to bring in more rain from the west, which would move to northern parts of the UK allowing more sunshine and brightness to come through on Saturday for England and Wales – with a southerly breeze bringing more warmth.

But then low pressure will move across the UK on Sunday, bringing more rain.

And he said: “High pressure starts to build in through Tuesday and beyond, not really seeing a southerly breeze, really, so not expecting a heatwave.

“Temperatures are going to be nearer normal as it settles down from Tuesday onwards.”

In the latest BBC forecast for Bristol, it suggests temperatures reaching 22C on a cloudy Friday, 24C on Saturday which will be dominated by light cloud, then 22C on Sunday with light rain showers, 23C on Monday and 22C on Tuesday.

The graphic above from Ventusky shows temperatures over Europe on Saturday at 4pm

What the Met Office is saying

In the South West, the Met Office says we can expect a dry and cloudy day today (Tuesday), feeling relatively cool with temperatures reaching 20C.

After a largely dry night, Wednesday will see a few patches of light rain or drizzle with general rain approaching from the west, with temperature highs of 21C.

Thursday to Saturday could see unsettled weather with a mix of rain and showers, some heavy. Friday should by dry with more rain and showers on Saturday, heavy at times.

Saturday, August 21 to Monday, August 30: Remaining unsettled through the weekend with showers and longer spells of rain at times, but also with some drier conditions with sunshine too. Feeling humid and rather warm. Through the new week it is likely to become drier and less humid from the north with sunny spells. Thereafter there is a signal for settled conditions to become more dominant across most areas with largely dry weather. However there still remains the possibility of showers in places, with perhaps some longer spells of rain in the north or northwest. Temperatures are expected to be around average, although there is an increasing possibility that some very warm spells may develop later in the period. This may also bring the chance of thundery showers, especially in the south.

Tuesday, August 31 to Tuesday, September 14: Confidence is very low during this period. A northwest to southeast split is most likely. Showers or longer spells of rain, together with strong winds, may affect northwestern areas, with these conditions spreading southeast to other parts of the UK at times. Any more prolonged dry and settled weather is most likely in the southeast. Temperatures are expected to be near average, perhaps warmer in the south and east.

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