Home News Met Office weather: Tropical storm activity creates September uncertainty

Met Office weather: Tropical storm activity creates September uncertainty

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There’s a feeling of autumn in the air as the nights draw in, the mercury slips down and the warming heat of the sun fades into memory.

As thoughts turn to the return to school and the long four-month drag towards Christmas, the weather seems to be casting a bit of a cloud on the last day of summer with the possibility of tropical storm activity having a part to play.

The Met Office is saying it will feel cooler today (Tuesday, August 31) in the South West – although any spots of sunshine through the clouds will feel warm.

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There could even be some drizzle today on another cloudy day, and we could have a ‘chilly’ night in western parts of the South West tonight.

The first day of September tomorrow (Wednesday), will see more cloud that could disappear by noon, with some brighter spells and temperatures could hit 20C.

There could be more variable cloud on Thursday and Friday, but remaining largely dry with occasional bright skies, the Met Office says.

It could feel pleasant in the sunshine, with chilly nights for some. Breezy along south coast. The region could see some rain on Saturday.

A BBC weather spokesman said: “Towards the first weekend of September, there are some signals that low pressure may begin to push in as the high starts to weaken and shift north.

“However, confidence is a bit low on the exact timing, and this could hold off until the following week.”

And as we move through September, the Met Office says we can expect temperatures around average for the start of the month, with a lot of dry weather.

Tropical storm activity is likely to create an unsettled spell from the middle of September, before some drier weather returns.

Below, you can see the full long-range forecast for the UK from the Met Office.

Met Office’s UK long range weather forecast

Saturday, September 4 to Monday, September 13

High pressure still in charge initially. Most areas will see a continuation of dry weather, except for light rain or drizzle over windward coasts and hills, especially in eastern areas, with variable cloud and some spells of sunshine. Temperatures are likely to be near average for most, but rather cool in eastern regions. Over the weekend, as the high pressure begins to break down, outbreaks of rain may start to spread to some southern and western areas, with mostly dry weather continuing elsewhere. Into the following week, unsettled weather continues to push eastwards, bringing showers or longer spells of rain across many parts of the UK. Northern and eastern areas remaining settled for the longest. Winds remain light to moderate, but stronger in the northwest later, and temperatures around average.

Tuesday, September 14 to Tuesday, September 28

The influence of tropical storm activity brings some uncertainty to this period. An unsettled spell is most likely for the middle of September, the focus for this toward the northwest of the UK, with the south and southeast perhaps holding on to drier weather. Toward the end of the month, it looks like a trend toward drier weather will begin, especially across the south. Temperatures are likely to be near to or a little above average for the time of year.

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